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Russia nearly completes large jet-drone launch base near Ukraine in about six weeks

Satellite imagery shows Russia has nearly completed a large new base for launching jet-propelled strike drones in southwestern Rostov Oblast, built in roughly six weeks on what was an empty field on August 31. Western and Ukrainian analysts say the facility, located near the Millerovo airbase, is designed to launch Geran-4 and Geran-5 models and could significantly expand the scale of Russian drone strikes against Ukrainian cities, with Kyiv and its surroundings already the most heavily targeted.

Key points

  • Reuters analysis of Planet Labs and Airbus satellite imagery shows an empty field on August 31 became a complex of about 0.9 sq km — roughly 126 football fields — by October 14.
  • The facility sits about 3.5 km from Millerovo airbase, home to Russia's 31st Guards Fighter Aviation Regiment.
  • Eight launch platforms with rails for jet drones are visible at the western edge of the complex; analysts assess it could launch 100 or more jet drones within 24 hours.
  • DroneSec and RUSI analysts identified the site as designed for Geran-4 and Geran-5 jet drones, Russia's newest models.
  • DroneSec says the site likely sits within the air-defense bubble of Millerovo, complicating Ukrainian strikes on it.
  • Ukraine's military reported Russia increased its use of jet drones about sixfold over the three summer months, with Kyiv and the surrounding region the most heavily targeted.
  • Jet-propelled Shaheds reach roughly 450–600 km/h, against about 180–200 km/h for gasoline-engine versions.

Why it matters

The speed of construction — a base the size of about 126 football fields rising in roughly six weeks on previously empty land — points to a rapid expansion of Russia's fixed infrastructure for jet-drone strikes against Ukraine. Analysts assess the new site could eventually support launches of 100 or more jet drones within 24 hours, a substantial increase over current capacity. The facility is sited within range of air defenses at the nearby Millerovo airbase, complicating any Ukrainian attempt to strike the launchers. With Russian use of jet drones rising about sixfold over the summer and Kyiv the most heavily targeted area, the development sharpens the pressure on Ukraine's air defenses and on its still-developing fleet of interceptor drones.

What happened

A Reuters analysis of commercial satellite imagery from Planet Labs and Airbus shows that a previously empty field in southwestern Rostov Oblast, on the Russian side of the border with Ukraine, has been turned into a large drone-launch complex in roughly six weeks. On August 31 the site was bare ground; construction began on September 1. By October 14 the facility covered approximately 0.9 square kilometers — about the size of 126 football fields — and sits roughly 3.5 km from the Millerovo airbase, home to the 31st Guards Fighter Aviation Regiment. Eight launch platforms fitted with rails for jet drones are visible at the western edge of the complex. Mike Monnik of the private intelligence firm DroneSec said the configuration is consistent with launching Geran-4 and Geran-5 jet-propelled models, Russia's newest strike drones, and that the site could enable 100 or more launches within 24 hours, though actual use will depend on available stocks and assigned tasks. Rob Jordan, program director at the London-based analytical center RUSI, said the visible concrete pads and rails match designs used for Geran-type drones. DroneSec also assessed that the site likely sits inside the air-defense bubble around Millerovo, making it harder for Ukraine to hit. Ukraine's military has reported that Russian use of jet drones rose about sixfold over the three summer months, with Kyiv and its surroundings the most heavily targeted, after interception rates for conventional gasoline-engine Shaheds reached 92–96%. Ukraine has begun combat use of interceptor drones, with officials including Zelenskyy and Budanov citing the difficulty of scaling production and financing.

How Ukrainian sources describe it

Ukrainian coverage frames the new base primarily as a direct threat to Ukraine. Reports center on the sixfold rise in Russian jet-drone use over the summer, the concentration of strikes on Kyiv and its surroundings, and the speed at which the facility went up on what had been an empty field on August 31. They cite Ukrainian military data, Ukrainian intelligence production figures of about 3,000 Geran-4/5 units per month, and statements from officials — Zelenskyy on September 10 and 18, Budanov on September 30, and Fedorov on October 12 — on the development and combat use of interceptor drones, presenting the story as a race between Russian expansion of jet-drone strikes and Ukraine's defensive response.

How international sources describe it

The underlying investigation is a Reuters analysis built on commercial satellite imagery from Planet Labs and Airbus, presenting the new base primarily as a Russian military-buildup signal. Western analysts are quoted on the facility's likely purpose, completion timeline and protected location within the Millerovo air-defense bubble. DroneSec's Mike Monnik framed the wider picture as a challenge for the West, pointing to industrial-scale Russian production of jet drones, increasing technological complexity, and what he called the relative lack of comprehensive counter-drone capabilities in many NATO countries.

Where reporting differs

Coverage differs on how the construction timeline is described. The underlying Reuters analysis, drawing on satellite imagery, dates the start of building work to September 1 and shows the site as an empty field on August 31. Other Ukrainian outlets describe the project simply as having been 'built' or 'completed' in six weeks without specifying a start date.

Background

Jet-propelled Shaheds travel at roughly 450–600 km/h, against about 180–200 km/h for the older gasoline-engine version, giving mobile fire groups far less time to intercept them. Ukrainian intelligence says Russia began serial production of the Geran-4 in January, first used it against Ukraine in May, and by August was producing about 3,000 Geran-4/5 units a month, more than the roughly 2,800 gasoline-engine Geran-2 produced in the same period. From late August Russia has been carrying out near-continuous small-group drone strikes on the Kyiv region, and in the attacks of August 27–28, between a third and a half of more than 400 drones used were jet-propelled. Ukraine reported in July some 1,500 jet-drone launches and more than 2,500 in August, according to Defense Minister Yevhen Khmara.