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Ukraine warned it could lose hundreds of millions in foreign debt due to underfunded legal services, as UN flags harsh winter ahead

Ukraine's Ministry of Finance has warned that a funding shortfall for legal services in international disputes could cost the state hundreds of millions in recoverable debts owed by foreign entities, against the backdrop of a 472.6 billion hryvnia debt owed to the Ministry of Defence. Separately, a UN commission reported on September 21 that Russian strikes on energy infrastructure will make the coming winter even harder for Ukrainian civilians.

Key points

  • Foreign entities owe Ukraine's Ministry of Defence 472.6 billion hryvnias for undelivered products, of which 75.7 billion is overdue.
  • The figures come from the Accounting Chamber's analysis of the 2025 budget execution report and the Ministry of Finance's fiscal risk analysis of the 2027 budget.
  • Without timely legal services, Ukraine could miss statutes of limitations in disputes with foreign entities, including cases at the Swiss Arbitration Centre.
  • Amounts at risk include over USD 232.1 million, EUR 155.7 million, 51,647 Swiss francs and 535,189 hryvnias.
  • The Ministry of Finance estimates a shortfall of about 1 million hryvnias for legal representation in 62 cases in 2026.
  • Ministry of Defence overdue accounts receivable grew from 39.6 billion hryvnias on 1 January 2024 to 45 billion hryvnias on 1 January 2025.
  • A UN commission said on 21 September that ongoing Russian attacks on energy infrastructure will make the coming winter even harder for Ukrainian civilians.

Why it matters

A relatively small funding gap — roughly 1 million hryvnias for 62 legal cases — could prevent Ukraine from recovering hundreds of millions of dollars and euros owed by foreign entities, while also jeopardising cooperation with existing foreign legal advisors and the country's reputation in future fundraising. In parallel, the UN's warning about continued Russian attacks on energy infrastructure signals another difficult winter for Ukrainian civilians, even as a reported mutual understanding on not striking each other's energy facilities remains disputed.

What happened

Ukraine's Ministry of Finance, in a fiscal risk analysis of the 2027 budget, warned that the state risks missing statutes of limitations in international disputes with foreign entities, including cases at the Swiss Arbitration Centre, due to underfunding of legal services. The warning was made against the backdrop of a 472.6 billion hryvnia debt owed to the Ministry of Defence for undelivered products — 75.7 billion of which is overdue — a figure established by the Accounting Chamber in its review of the 2025 budget execution report. The Ministry of Finance estimates that, without timely procurement of legal services, Ukraine could lose the ability to recover over USD 232.1 million, EUR 155.7 million, 51,647 Swiss francs and 535,189 hryvnias, while the cost of legal representation in 62 cases in 2026 is short by approximately 1 million hryvnias.

On the same day, the UN Independent International Commission of Inquiry on Ukraine presented a report expressing concern about Russian attacks on Ukraine's energy infrastructure. Commission chair Erik Møse said ongoing strikes are making living conditions for civilians increasingly unbearable and that the coming winter will be even harder to endure. The Commission will present further investigation results at the 81st UN General Assembly session in October 2026.

How Ukrainian sources describe it

The two supplied Ukrainian sources frame Ukraine as a state under fiscal strain — at risk of losing recoverable debts owed to the Ministry of Defence because legal services in international disputes are underfunded — and as a country under attack on civilian infrastructure, with the UN warning of a harsher winter ahead. Ukrainian reporting stresses that a small funding shortfall could lead to disproportionately large financial losses and damage Ukraine's reputation with foreign partners.

Where reporting differs

On the question of an energy ceasefire, US President Donald Trump claimed on 14 September that Ukraine and Russia had agreed not to strike each other's energy facilities, while Kremlin spokesperson Dmitry Peskov had only days earlier effectively ruled out such a ceasefire before calling it a "very good idea" on 15 September. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy conditioned Kyiv's readiness on partners being able to guarantee Russian compliance.

Background

The 472.6 billion hryvnia debt figure was established by the Accounting Chamber in its analysis of the 2025 budget execution report. Overdue accounts receivable of the Ministry of Defence grew from 39.6 billion hryvnias at the start of 2024 to 45 billion hryvnias at the start of 2025. Ukraine's 2027 budget reportedly provides significantly more funding for national security and defence than 2026. The UN Commission will present further investigation results at the 81st UN General Assembly session in October 2026. On 14 September, Trump claimed Ukraine and Russia had agreed not to strike each other's energy facilities; Zelenskyy said Kyiv is ready for a mutual cessation of strikes on critical infrastructure if partners can guarantee Russian compliance; and Peskov on 15 September called a possible energy ceasefire a "very good idea," having previously described energy as Ukraine's "Achilles' heel" and effectively ruled out such a ceasefire.